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Eakinomics: Getting
Right the Global Part of Fighting Global Climate Change
President-elect Biden has indicated that climate change will be the paramount
policy issue of the next administration. Most of the focus and discussion has
centered on domestic initiatives, but getting right the international aspects
of the issue is crucial. As noted by AAF's Ewelina Czapla in her
recent paper, over the next 20 years developing
countries across the Indo-Pacific are projected to see growth in greenhouse
gas emissions as well as two-thirds of global energy growth. Efforts to
mitigate the impact of climate change will require increased investment in
clean energy technology across the entire globe. (See here for Czapla’s discussion of
clean energy opportunities in Eastern Europe.)
There are two economic policy issues in play. The first is the desire of U.S.
policymakers to rely on domestic manufacturers of clean energy
technologies (e.g., solar panels), allowing them to provide
domestic power and at the same time sell their products around the
world to meet the clean energy needs of other countries. Indeed, some view
this as a “great power” competition with China and seek to aid U.S. companies
in competing with China. The problem with this approach is that it
fundamentally tilts the domestic playing field and favors certain incumbent
firms over both others and potential entrants. This diminishes competitive
forces, undercuts innovation and productivity growth, and raises the cost of
the overall clean energy policy. Having vigorous domestic competition is an
essential element of a good clean energy policy.
How does one compete internationally? The first step is to not hide from
competition. So, for example, do not follow the lead of the Trump
Administration and put tariffs on imported solar panels. Indeed, because
other countries (e.g., Japan, Korea) retaliated, these tariffs actually harm
the ability to compete globally. The second, as Czapla notes, is to remove
self-inflicted regulatory wounds that inhibit U.S. exports.
As it turns out, good economic policy for global climate change is simply
good trade policy. But continuing to get it wrong will make any Biden-era
clean energy policy overly costly and underproductive.
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