Thursday, February 4, 2021

Order Restored

By Alex Eule | Wednesday, February 3

Calm Returns. We've come a long way from last week's volatility. The S&P 500 gained for the third consecutive day, but just barely, up 0.1%. The large-cap index was nearly split on the day, with 253 components rising, 246 falling, and one unchanged. 

The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.02%. Meanwhile, shares of GameStop, the new proxy for volatility, seemed to declare an end to two weeks of market insanity. Shares of the videogame retailer were up a rather normal 2.7% on the day. 

The new calmness comes with federal regulators set to meet tomorrow to discuss last week's volatile trading. The meeting, which will include members of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and the Securities and Exchange Commission, was called by newly confirmed Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and indicates that federal officials are, at the very least, taking a serious look at the short-squeeze induced rallies. A statement from the Treasury Department indicated that Yellen wants to discuss "whether recent activities are consistent with investor protection and fair and efficient markets.”

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell declined to comment on the GameStop situation during his regularly scheduled press conference last week. Yellen's stance suggests the government may still get involved. 

For now, investors will have to return their focus to the pandemic, stimulus plans, earnings, and jobs. There's potentially good news on all those fronts. ADP's private-sector employment report today indicated that businesses added 174,000 jobs in January, well ahead of an expected gain of 50,000 jobs. The more important jobs number arrives on Friday with the government's nonfarms payroll report. Barron's Matthew Klein has more on what to expect -- and what to look for -- in the data.  

Barron's Review & Preview

DJIA: +0.12% to 30,723.60
S&P 500: +0.10% to 3,830.17
Nasdaq: -0.02% to 13,610.54

The Hot Stock: EOG Resources +9.0%
The Biggest Loser: PerkinElmer -7.6%

Best Sector: Energy +4.3%
Worst Sector: Health Care -0.7%

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