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Eakinomics: Reconciliation
(The Budgetary Kind)
This note is not about the restoration of friendly relations. It is about the
congressional process known as reconciliation that permits legislation to get
an up or down vote in the Senate. Reconciliation is all the rage in nerd
Washington. AAF’s Gordon Gray lays out all the details in his latest; this is the
(Zoom) cocktail party version.
The Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974 (“Budget Act”)
set up the modern budget process and infrastructure – the House and Senate
Budget Committees, budget resolutions, the Congressional Budget Office, and
so forth. The authors intended that these serve the purposes of fiscal sanity
and anticipated that this fiscal discipline would involve tough
legislative initiatives such as raising taxes (and not just on the 1 percent)
and cutting spending (and not just the defense budget). Given the political
difficulty of these actions, they were looking to grease the skids when it
was necessary to bring the actual budget deficit to match the planned budget
deficit – that is, “reconcile” the difference between the reality
and the budget resolution.
A potentially important hurdle was the Senate’s tradition of unlimited debate
that is cut off only by a super-majority vote for cloture. This tradition
raised the possibility that a single Senator or a small group could
filibuster these attempts at fiscal sobriety. Reconciliation was included in
the Budget Act to bypass those Senate rules: A reconciliation bill has a
fixed amount of time for debate and then is subject to an up or down simple
majority vote.
Given such an opening, it was too much to hope that reconciliation would be
used strictly for deficit reduction; indeed, the vast, vast majority of such
bills have increased deficits. Also, there would also be the temptation to
use it for non-budgetary lawmaking. Recognizing the threat to his beloved
Senate rules, the late Robert Byrd of West Virginia had passed into law the
“Byrd Rule” that prevents the inclusion of provisions that are not budgetary
in nature.
Notice that a provision can have a budgetary impact and still be excluded. If
the Senate Parliamentarian rules that a provision’s budgetary impact is
incidental to its primary policy purpose, then it is not germane and requires
a 60-vote approval to be included. For obvious reasons, when identified these
provisions are quickly dropped.
The 2021 emphasis on reconciliation has created a new parlor game in trying
to guess where the Parliamentarian will draw the line on what is in and what
is out. It has also raised the specter of using a “nuclear option” (similar
to that used in judicial appointments) to overrule the Parliamentarian. One
hopes the latter is empty chatter, as using it would not just get a favored
policy over the finish line. It would simultaneously destroy the integrity of
reconciliation and badly degrade the Senate legislative process.
That’s reconciliation – the budgetary kind, at least.
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