Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Earnings Roll On

 

By Alex Eule |  Wednesday, April 21

The Hybrid Economy. So much for the pullback. After two days of declines, investors are buying the dip. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 316 points, or 0.9%. The S&P 500 was also up 0.9%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.2%.

All the concerns earlier this week about vaccines and accelerating Covid-19 cases seemed to be out the window. Some of the best performing stocks today were reopening-sensitive travel names like Norwegian Cruise Line (+10.3%), Carnival (+6.3%), MGM Resorts (+4.2%), and Expedia Group (+3.4%). 

Chipotle Mexican Grill CEO Brian Niccol sounded an optimistic note about the reopening tonight during his company's first-quarter earnings call:  

What we're definitely seeing is people want to be back in our dining rooms. I've had the luxury of traveling recently ... and I have been at numerous restaurants, and it's great to see the lines again in our dining rooms. And we're seeing a nice rebound, obviously, in those dining room sales because there weren't any a year ago.

Chipotle's revenue was up 23% from a year ago, the first-quarter affected by Covid-19. Teresa Rivas has more on Chipotle's earnings here.

Speaking of earnings, it continues to be a banner earnings season. Nearly every major earnings report today blew by Wall Street forecasts, including the numbers from Chipotle, as well as VerizonWhirlpool, Discover, and Lam Research. According to the earnings calendar I monitor on Briefing.com, 31 of 37 companies exceeded forecasts today. That's in line with the 85% average beat rate so far this quarter.

And yet the most important earnings numbers in the last 24 hours were actually a disappointment -- those reported last night by Netflix. Shares of the streaming pioneer fell 7.4% today -- and some folks saw a major turning point in the stay-at-home success that drove businesses for much of the last year. Netflix added just four million new subscribers in the first quarter, well below its forecast of six million. And the company is now expecting just a million new sign-ups in the current quarter.

But are we really ready to call an end to our favorite quarantine activities, from streaming and video calls to at-home-fitness and food takeout? Eric Savitz explains why Netflix's slowdown may be a temporary blip

Chipotle had some interesting clues, too, about reopening routines. The company's digital sales were up a staggering 134% in the first quarter as diners stuck with new ordering habits picked up during the quarantine. "We had record sales for our digital business despite the fact that our dining rooms are opening," CEO Niccol told investors tonight. "So I think it just demonstrates the power of both access modes, meaning the in-restaurant dining access mode and the digital access mode."

The reopening is here, but a year of new routines aren't going away anytime soon. Call it the hybrid economy.

 

 


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