Friday, April 23, 2021

More Good News for Housing

 

By Matthew Klein |  Friday, April 23

House Hunting. Americans bought 85,000 new homes in March on a seasonally-adjusted basis, according to data published today by the Census Bureau. It was the best month for new home sales since August 2006. In the years before the pandemic hit, Americans bought just 52,000 new homes monthly.

The ongoing surge in demand is another indicator of the strength of the U.S. consumer. As IHS Markit put it in a note today, “The U.S. is on track for extraordinary GDP growth this year”—and that seems to matter more for investors than any proposed changes to the taxation of capital gains or corporate profits.

Despite new talk of tax hikes, the S&P 500 rose 1.1%, while the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks rose by 1.8%. The S&P is at its second-highest level ever, just 0.2% below the peak reached last Friday, while the Russell is at its highest level since mid-March.

The gains were broad-based, with 403 of the components in the S&P up for the day—all 11 sectors were either up or essentially flat. Financials, materials, and technology stocks were among the best performers, while defensive consumer staples and utilities did the worst.

Many of the biggest winners of the day—including SVB Financial Group, Seagate Technology, Xilinx, Advanced Micro Devices, Aptiv, Skyworks Solutions, and Qorvo—are part of the broader tech hardware complex and/or have some connection to the ongoing chip shortage affecting motor vehicle manufacturing. American Airlines and United Airlines were also among the biggest winners, likely reflecting the ongoing success of the U.S. vaccination campaign.

On the other side was a long list of consumer product companies that had outperformed earlier in the pandemic: Kimberly-Clark, Clorox, Church & Dwight, J.M. Smucker, Colgate-Palmolive, Campbell Soup, Kraft Heinz, Hasbro, Hormel Foods, and General Mills. The other notable loser for the day was Intel, which fell on the back of a poorly received earnings report.

Stocks were up slightly in much of the rest of the world, including Australia, Canada, China, Hong Kong, and Korea, although markets were down in Europe and Japan. U.S. Treasury yields were essentially flat, although yields on longer-term Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) have been edging lower. Gold and silver were both down slightly, but the price of copper rose to hit its highest level since early 2011 and is now just 6% below its all-time high.

Watch our TV show on Fox Business Fridays at 10 p.m. or 11:30 p.m. ET; Saturdays at 10 a.m. or 11:30 a.m.; or Sundays at 7 a.m., 10 a.m., or 11:30 a.m. This week, see an interview with Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger on how to ease the global chip shortage.

 

 


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