Monday, April 19, 2021

Safety First

 

By Alex Eule |  Monday, April 19

Playing It Safe. You didn't have to search far to grasp the general mood of markets today. A continued slide in the price of Bitcoin pretty much sums it up. The cryptocurrency tumbled over the weekend and continued to fall this morning before a small rebound. At a current $56,000, Bitcoin is down 13% since its all-time high last week. 

Investors are taking a break from risk, even if just a short one. Sure enough, it was a rough-day for more expensive growth stocks, too. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 1%, while the broader S&P 500 was off just 0.5%. Trading activity was light, with total volume just 72% of this year's daily average.

The source of the sudden risk-off mood isn't entirely clear. Earnings reports are clearing their high bar. With roughly 10% of companies in the S&P 500 having reported earnings, the first-quarter growth forecast is now 30.2%, well above the 25% expected just a few weeks ago. 

Meanwhile, the U.S. has reached a major milestone in the battle against Covid-19. As of today, every American adult is now eligible for a vaccine. A year ago, that mark seemed nearly impossible. Now it's here. There are two ways to look at the news: Either investors have been anticipating it for six months, which is why stocks are near all-time highs. Or they have yet to fully embrace the reality of a fully vaccinated public, leaving plenty of upside for stocks from here.

Louis Navellier, chief investment officer of long-term focused Navellier & Associates, is taking the upside bet. In a note to clients, he writes that investors have tired of economic and earnings numbers that are basically perfect. "We'll never get a better earnings environment than this," he writes. "Because the market's tired and bored right now, any weakness in strong stocks is a great buying opportunity."

Navellier says investors have little choice but to keep buying stocks:

Money is sloshing around all over the place. You can thank Treasury Secretary Yellen and Jerome Powell for boosting the money supply. That money will gravitate to stocks and drive them higher. I think a few weeks from now, we'll see that today is probably one of the best buying opportunities you will ever have.

 

 


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