Sunday, April 18, 2021

The Next Housing Boom

 

By Matthew Klein |  Friday, April 16

Build It. The latest U.S. economic data continue to show a consumer sector that’s firing on all cylinders. After yesterday’s blockbuster retail and food service spending numbers, the Census Bureau today published its latest reading of the housing market, which continued the trend of good news.

Construction started on more new housing units in March 2021 than in any March since 2006. The number of homes currently under construction is only 8% below the bubble-era high, while the number of completed homes hitting the market just hit its highest level since early 2007. The number of permits filed for multifamily units in the first quarter hit its highest level since 1986.

The strong data over the past few days prompted IHS Markit to update its first-quarter GDP forecast growth by almost a full percentage point at a yearly rate.

Investors took the good news in stride. The S&P 500 index of large companies rose 0.4% to hit its 23rd record high for 2021, while the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks rose 0.2%. Bond yields, which had been on a relentless upward march earlier in the year, were basically flat. Compared with their recent highs, the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields are both down about 0.2 percentage points.

Within the S&P, 355 stocks were up, as were all of the industry sectors except for energy, which was down 0.8%, and communication services and technology, which were flat. The best performing sectors were materials, utilities, consumer discretionary, healthcare, and financials. But the biggest winners of the day were the ones most exposed to the U.S. housing boom, including PPG Industries, Sherwin-Williams, D.R. Horton, NVR, and Lennar.

The worst performers of the day were dominated by oil companies, including EOG Resources, Marathon Oil, Pioneer Natural Resources, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Halliburton, Hess, Cabot Oil & Gas, ConocoPhillips, and APA. The price of oil itself barely budged on Friday, although it was down slightly. So far this year, both the price of oil and the prices of oil company stocks are both up about 30%.

Investors outside the U.S. were also optimistic, with stocks up almost everywhere in the world. New records were set in Canada’s TSX and in the STOXX Europe 600.

Watch our weekly TV show on Fox Business Fridays at 10 p.m. or 11:30 p.m. ET; Saturdays at 10 a.m. or 11:30 a.m.; or Sundays at 7 a.m., 10 a.m., or 11:30 a.m. This week, an interview with Okta CEO Todd McKinnon.

 

 


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