Tuesday, August 3, 2021

CEOs On Inflation

 

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Tuesday, August 3

Paltry Yields. The S&P 500 advanced 0.8% today, to notch its 42nd record close of 2021. The index is up nearly 18% since the start of the year, after rising 16% in 2020 and 29% in 2019.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell as low as 1.15% today, before recovering to 1.17% by the afternoon. Lower bond yields make stocks relatively more attractive. The S&P 500's dividend yield of about 1.3% may be the lowest it has been in two decades, but it's still higher than the 10-year's yield.

"Before the bull market of the 1990s, the S&P 500 yielded 3% or more and topped 6% at a market low in 1982," Barron's Andrew Bary recently wrote. "That occurred during a period of higher interest rates than those prevailing now."

From 2003 to early 2020, the S&P 500 mostly yielded close to 2%. Today's bond yields don't provide much competition. Read more from Andrew here.

Meanwhile, a particularly strong earnings season carries on. Second-quarter S&P 500 earnings per share are on track to be up 83% from a year ago. Companies have been beating by 16% on average, according to data from Credit Suisse's chief U.S. equity strategist Jonathan Golub.

Results reported today came from Alibaba, Lyft, Nikola, Clorox, Eli LillyAkamai TechnologiesRalph Lauren, and more.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 0.8%, within a tenth of a percentage point of its all-time high. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.5%, and is about half a point away from a record.

 

 


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