Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Under Hawks' Wings

 

By Jeffrey Cane |  Wednesday, February 16

A Kettle of Hawks. Russia showed no sign of backing down today. Neither did the Federal Reserve. The former caused stocks to sag in the morning, while the latter helped the S&P 500 eke out a tiny gain in the afternoon. 

All in all, it was still a risk-off day after a bleak three-day losing streak had been halted yesterday.  For investors, risks remain on many fronts. 

Optimism that a diplomatic solution might be found to the situation on Ukraine's border wilted today after North Atlantic Treaty Organization Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, said, "We have heard the signs from Moscow about readiness to continue diplomatic efforts, but so far, we have not seen any de-escalation on the ground." The major European stock indexes -- the FTSE 100 in London, the CAC 40 in Paris, and Germany's Dax -- closed modestly lower. 

Amid the continued nervousness over potential conflict, crude oil futures gained 1.7%, to $93.66 a barrel. The traditional safe-haven of gold rose 0.8%, to $1870.20 an ounce. The U.S. dollar was slightly weaker against other major currencies.

U.S. stocks were also lower until the minutes of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting in January were released at 2 p.m. 

The minutes did not reveal anything new about the direction the Fed is likely to take. But discussion reflected in them was seen as less-hawkish than some recent commentary has been, and stocks recovered lost ground in the afternoon to end little changed. 

Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote: 

January's FOMC minutes shed no further light on the Fed's near-term intentions. But they do make it clear that the aggressive approach to balance sheet runoff favored by St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard is not universally shared, with only "a number of participants” thinking that “... conditions would likely warrant beginning to reduce the size of the balance sheet sometime later this year.”

The S&P 500 closed up 3.94 points on the day. Nine of its 11 sectors were positive, as were 300 of its components. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite ended down 0.1%. The Russell 2000 rose 0.1%.

The biggest loser in the S&P 500 was ViacomCBS, which sank 17.8% as investors were unimpressed by the company's revamped streaming strategy. My colleague Nicholas Jasinski has more here

Shopify tumbled 16% after the e-commerce software company signaled that revenue growth could slow in the first half of the year.

Airbnb reported strong fourth-quarter results, and its shares rose 3.7%.

Crocs also showed robust results, yet its shares fell 6.4%. Still, the maker of those plastic clogs with the holes in them has come a long way. The stock is up 126% since it was a Barron's stock pick in September 2020. Take a bow, Teresa Rivas

 

 


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