Tuesday, September 27, 2022

FedEx Delivers Bad News

By Alex Eule |  Friday, September 16

The Other Fed. We've gotten used to the Fed moving markets over the last year. But FedEx? Not so much. The shipping giant stunned investors last night when it reported fiscal first-quarter earnings earlier than expected and withdrew its outlook for the full year. The news was dire. FedEx earned $3.44 a share for the quarter ended in August versus analysts' $5.10 estimate. 

"First-quarter results were adversely impacted by global volume softness that accelerated in the final weeks of the quarter." Rarely does one corporate press release have such a broad impact on the market, but FedEx is considered a bellwether, tuned into the global economy thanks to its long experience and wide reach in shipping products around the world.

The major indexes all opened in negative territory, as strategists tried to figure out if FedEx's issues were a company-specific problem or a red flag for the economy. 

FedEx said it would be reducing flights and temporarily parking aircraft, along with closing 90 offices. 

The stock tumbled 21% for its worst day ever. (FedEx went public in 1978.) At least five Wall Street banks downgraded the stock. JPMorgan said the earnings miss was particularly worrisome given the boost the company got from fuel surcharges it had put in place. Citibank, which had already downgraded the stock last week, wrote that the "preliminary results were significantly worse than we feared."

Rival UPS fell only 4.5% on the day. Earlier this month, UPS had actually reiterated its own full-year forecast: "We are controlling what we can control and have confidence in our ability to achieve our full-year guidance, despite a dynamic macro environment."

Even still, the FedEx warning and the dramatic selloff underlines the market's skittishness amid continued rate hikes and recession worries. The S&P 500 finished the day down 0.7%, capping a 4.8% weekly decline. The large-cap index is down four of the past five weeks, as are the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average, which finished the week down 5.5% and 4.1%, respectively.

Barron's Al Root has more on FedEx's warning here and why it's still too early to buy the stock here.

Watch our weekly TV show on Fox Business Saturday or Sunday at 10 a.m. or 11:30 a.m. ET. This week, an interview with Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer.

DJIA: -0.45% to 30,822.42
S&P 500: 
-0.72% to 3,873.33
Nasdaq: 
-0.90% to 11,448.40

The Hot Stock: Iron Mountain +3.4%
The Biggest Loser: FedEx 
-21.4%  

Best Sector: Consumer Staples +0.24%
Worst Sector: Energy 
-2.1%

A one-day chart of the major indexes.

No comments:

Post a Comment