Thursday, December 29, 2022

No Santa on Wall Street

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Wednesday, December 28

Downward Slope. Stocks opened with modest gains today, but spent the bulk of the session drifting lower. By the close, major indexes were firmly in the red, with losses across the board.

All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 lost ground, as the overall index slid 1.2%. Just 25 of its constituents gained. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.1% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.4%. The tech-heavy index is down more than 10% this month, on pace for its worst December performance ever, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

A renewed rise in bond yields has kept a year-end stock rally at bay. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 3.89% today, its highest level since Nov. 9.

That's a headwind for stocks any time of the year, but especially during the holiday week. There's little else in terms of news to drive the daily narrative and trading volumes are thin. Fewer than 3.1 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange today, versus the year-to-date average daily volume of more than 4.6 billion shares.

Low trading volume can exacerbate daily moves—there are just fewer traders at their desks to step in and counter the trend.

The energy sector was the biggest loser in the S&P 500 today, down 2.2%, on another decline in oil prices. The short-term bull case for oil prices in recent weeks has been tied to the easing of Covid-19 restrictions in China. The reopening of the world’s second-largest economy should mean more demand for oil and gas as people get moving again and industrial activity picks up.

But the lifting of restrictions has predictably come with a surge in Covid-19 cases. The United States and several other countries announced today that they will require travelers from China to produce a negative Covid-19 test to enter.

The bumpy process is tempering the near-term enthusiasm about China's reopening and its positive effects on consumer demand and supply chains.

The iShares MSCI China ETF followed up its 3.9% gain on Tuesday with a 3% drop today.

DJIA: -1.10% to 32,875.71
S&P 500: 
-1.20% to 3,783.22
Nasdaq: 
-1.35% to 10,213.29

The Hot Stock: Generac Holdings +5.6%
The Biggest Loser: EQT 
-7.8%  

Best Sector: Financials -0.4%
Worst Sector: Energy 
-2.2%

A one-day chart of the major indexes.

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