Tuesday, April 18, 2023

So Far, So Good for Earnings

By Alex Eule | Monday, April 17

No Fear. With earnings about to hit full steam, investors now have plenty to think about beyond inflation, interest rates, and yield curves. Earnings season has a way of returning investors' attention to the fundamentals. And with the big banks, thus far, surprising to the upside, there's brewing optimism about results. More on that below. 

Today, stocks held their own, with the major indexes all rising about 0.3%. That's despite new attention to the debt ceiling and the growing threat of a protracted standoff in Washington. 

“Let me be clear: a no-strings-attached debt limit increase cannot pass," U.S. Speaker Kevin McCarthy said today during a speech at the New York Stock Exchange. "Debt limit negotiations are an opportunity to examine our nation’s finances."

The White House has said it won't negotiate over the debt ceiling issue. After McCarthy's speech, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D, N.Y.) said that the speaker was playing a "risky and dangerous game."

"If Speaker McCarthy doesn't change his course, he could well take this country to default," Schumer said. 

Investors aren't yet paying attention to the back and forth, even though the last real debt ceiling battle in 2011 caused tumbling markets and a downgrade of U.S. debt. 

Today, stocks rallied in the afternoon to move into positive territory on the day. The CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, or the fear index, closed under 17 today, near its lowest level in three years. 

Investors are feeling calm. Now corporate earnings need to deliver. 

DJIA: +0.30% to 33,987.18
S&P 500:
+0.33% to 4,151.32
Nasdaq: 
+0.28% to 12,157.72

The Hot Stock: M&T Bank +7.8%
The Biggest Loser: State Street 
-9.2% 

Best Sector: Real Estate +2.3%
Worst Sector: Energy 
-1.2%

A one-day chart of the major indexes.

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