Iowa's 2016 transition from fee-for-service to managed Medicaid
was a hot-button topic this past election cycle as Democrat Fred Hubbell
campaigned for governor with the promise of returning the program to a publicly
managed system. A new report from State Auditor Mary Mosiman (R) is adding fuel
to the fire over the controversial IA Health Link program that state Democrats
want to dismantle.
According to the report, the state in fiscal year (FY) 2018 is
projected to save approximately $126 million from the transition to managed
care. But the report noted that three different estimates for FY 2018 savings
have been prepared using various methodologies, ranging from as little as $47
million to as much as $234 million.
Only one estimate — $141 million projected by the Iowa Dept. of
Human Services (DHS) in May 2018 — was found to be reliable because it
accounted for all Medicaid costs and relied on historical trend information to
determine what the cost may have been under the previous program. Based on the
DHS methodology used in May 2018, the new report made an updated estimate of
$126 million.
The report also noted that initial capitation rates for the
program were set in July 2015 but a subsequent review by Milliman resulted in
an "emerging trend adjustment" that amounted to an additional $379
million paid to plans in 2017 for FYs 2016 and 2017. Not long after the three
managed care organizations that originally contracted with the state began
serving the program, they reported financial losses and argued that the rates
were not actuarially sound. One insurer dropped out of the program and the
remaining two negotiated an 8.4% increase in rates for 2019.
The report contained an adjusted estimate for average
cost-per-member growth of 1.5% in FY 2018 and 5.6% in 2019, compared with CMS
projections of 5.8% on average between 2017 and 2026. Mosiman suggested that
over time such estimates will become less accurate and less meaningful as the
program gets further from FFS.
Rob Sand, the Democratic former assistant attorney general who
recently defeated Mosiman in the race for state auditor, criticized the report
for not assessing the impact on quality or timeliness of services provided to
Medicaid beneficiaries under the FFS or managed care program. In a Nov. 26 post
to Twitter, Sand vowed to dig deeper after he takes office on Jan. 1, 2019.
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