Lowering the Age of Medicare Eligibility
Would Likely Reduce Health Spending for Employers, But Raise Costs for
the Federal Government by Covering More People in Medicare
Medicare’s
Lower Provider Payment Rates Would Contribute to Lower Spending on Older
Adults Moving From Employer Coverage
Two new KFF analyses find that lowering the age of Medicare
eligibility from 65 to 60 could significantly reduce health spending for
employers, who could potentially pass savings to employees in the form of
lower premiums or higher wages.
Additionally, per person health spending for older adults who move from
employer coverage on to Medicare would likely be lower, though such moves
would shift costs to taxpayers and increase Medicare program expenditures
overall.
President Biden proposed lowering the age of Medicare eligibility to 60
during the presidential campaign, with the goal of broadening coverage
and making health coverage affordable for older adults.
To illustrate the potential for employer savings, one
analysis shows that lowering the age of Medicare eligibility
to 60 could reduce costs for employer health plans by as much as 15
percent if all eligible employees shifted from employer plans to
Medicare. Similarly, costs for employer plans could drop by as much as 30
percent if all people age 55 and over were no longer in
employer-sponsored insurance, the analysis finds, and by up to 43 percent
if everyone 50 and older chose to enroll in Medicare. The actual impact
on health spending for employers would depend on how many older workers
shifted from employer coverage to Medicare.
The savings in employer plans would come from employers covering fewer
older adults, who tend to have higher health care spending than younger
enrollees.
A second
analysis by KFF experts shows how 60- to 64-year-olds who move
from employer plans to Medicare could be covered more cheaply because
Medicare payments to hospitals, physicians and other health care
providers are generally lower than what private insurance pays.
Average monthly health care spending (per person) for enrollees ages
60-64 in large employer plans is 38 percent higher than average monthly
spending for traditional Medicare beneficiaries ages 65-69 ($1,061 vs.
$770), despite the fact that health needs and service use tend to
increase with age.
Lowering the age of Medicare eligibility could lower overall health care
costs, but would also shift costs from employer plans to the Medicare
program. Such a shift also would likely lead to lower revenues for
hospitals, physicians, and providers who deliver care to older adults who
choose Medicare over employer coverage.
The full analyses are available here:
The first analysis is only available on the Peterson-KFF
Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to
monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.
For more data and analyses related to health reform, employer-sponsored
insurance and Medicare, visit
kff.org.
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