Monday, May 24, 2021

Rocket Fuel

 

By Alex Eule |  Monday, May 24

To Infinity and Beyond. It was once again a good day to speculate on Wall Street. Look no further than Virgin Galactic, whose shares spiked 28% after the company completed a long-delayed spaceflight. The test offered hope to those excited about the future of space tourism. For Virgin Galactic investors, the test meant the company might soon begin selling real tickets to space. The firm founded by Richard Branson hasn't generated any real revenue since going public via a SPAC, or special purpose acquisition company, in 2019. 

Even after the rally, Virgin Galactic shares are still down 50% from their February peak, when investors were far more willing to bet on risky assets. The risk tolerance has been making a bit of a comeback, though, with inflation worries again on the back burner. The 10-year Treasury yield fell for a third consecutive day, closing down two basis points, to 1.608%. 

The risk-on day helped everything from the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (+1.4%) to cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin rose 14%, to $39,000 (and change), while Ethereum was up 27%. 

The value-focused Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged behind, up 0.5%, while the broad-based S&P 500 was up 1%. 

Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, thinks the market is still catching up with the economic reality.

The economy continues to strengthen and, so far, this year is off to a better start than even the most bullish economist could have expected. 

There are always risks though, including Covid-19 spread outside the U.S., deficit spending, geopolitics, inflation, tax increases, and a potential policy mistake. Not to mention, after a record 89% rally for the S&P 500, a well-deserved break or consolidation during a historically weak time seasonally would be perfectly normal.

But, amid a backdrop of an improving economy, massive levels of fiscal and monetary stimulus, and rising vaccination rates, we don’t expect any pullbacks to last very long, and we’d use any that appear as a buying opportunity. 

 

 


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