Wednesday, September 8, 2021

Wall Street Is Worrying

 

By Jeffrey Cane |  Wednesday, September 8

Downcast.  The bull market can appear at times to be a rough beast, tired and increasingly vulnerable as it trudges forward.  While there were no major drivers today, pessimism about the U.S. economy has been percolating since the surprising miss in the August payrolls numbers on Friday. And several downbeat assessments of U.S. stocks from Wall Street banks have only darkened the mood. 

The S&P 500 finished lower today for a third consecutive session, although it recovered much of its earlier losses. The Russell 2000 index ended down 1.1%.

Yesterday, Andrew Sheets, chief cross-asset strategist at Morgan Stanley,  cut U.S. stocks to Underweight, saying that the next two months would be "bumpy."   And Savita Subramanian, head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy at Bank of America,  now has a year-end S&P 500 target of 4250 --  down about 6% from its current level.  Barron's Nicholas Jasinski has more here

 Goldman Sachs economists, meanwhile, have reduced their forecast for U.S. economic growth this year, to  a 5.7% annualized rate from  6% previously.  

Wall Street is worried about the impact of the Delta variant on consumer spending and behavior, the withdrawal of stimulus, and political uncertainty. 

“High valuations have increased market fragility,” Christian Mueller-Glissmann, managing director of portfolio strategy and asset allocation at Goldman Sachs, told Bloomberg in an interview. “If there is a new negative development, it could generate growth shocks that lead to rapid de-risking.”

Elsewhere today, crude oil futures rose 1.4%, to $69.30 a barrel. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note settled slightly lower, at 1.33%.  Gold fell 0.3%, to $1790 an ounce.

The  U.S. dollar was stronger against other major currencies for a third consecutive session, while Bitcoin steadied after yesterday's selloff, trading around $46,154. 

There is a danger in worrying too much. Today's decline in the S&P 500 came even as 250 of its components rose. And the three-day slump in the index amounts to a mere 0.5% loss. 

 

 


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