Earnings season kicks off next week, with the
big banks reporting first-quarter results. The coming deluge of earnings
reports -- and CEOs’ earnings conference call comments on the business outlook
-- will be an important lens for investors to determine which companies will be
able to keep growing despite rampant inflation and an economic slowdown in the
United States and throughout the world.
Could you identify those likely companies
today?
My Review & Preview colleague Nicholas
Jasinski conducted an informative exercise to find those
companies with sufficient “pricing power” to maintain -- or increase – their
profit margins even in a treacherous business environment.
Generally speaking, there are four main paths
to building pricing power:
·
A company sells a product that is essential or
limited in supply, meaning that customers have few choices beyond paying the
higher price.
·
A company has few direct competitors.
·
A company innovates and can raise prices on
improved products and services.
·
A company becomes more efficient, holding down
its costs.
Nick screened the S&P 500 for companies
that “grew their gross margin (revenue minus the cost of goods sold, divided by
revenue) from 2020 to 2021 as the economy rebounded, but also had rising,
positive gross margins in at least the three years before the Covid-19
pandemic.”
He found 27 companies, ranging in size from
software midcap PTC to software behemoth Microsoft
and in sectors like healthcare, industrials, and consumer discretionary, as
well as technology.
Tech companies, including Nvidia and Broadcom,
and healthcare companies like Merck focus on innovating and
differentiating themselves. Fast-food chains like McDonald’s
and Yum! Brands have been able to raise prices when labor
and food costs rise. And Cintas, known for its uniform
rentals, is trying to bring down costs through automation.
Eric
Schoenstein, chief
investment officer of Jensen Investment Management, which manages about $14.5
billion, tells Nick:
There are so many cost pressures out there these days. We’re
trying to find businesses that have resilience through those difficult
circumstances. The ones that have already been tested and come out the other
side should have the ability to do it again.
Read the rest of Nick’s report here.
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