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The number of seniors
who switched from traditional Medicare to Medicare Advantage increased
annually from 2016 to 2020, according to new research published in JAMA Health Forum. The switch rate from
traditional Medicare to MA grew to 6.8% in 2020 — more than three times
higher than the switch rate from MA to traditional Medicare. This trend
was noticed across populations with a variety of traits, including age,
race and mortality status, and was particularly strong among
Medicare-Medicaid dual eligibles. Switch rates from MA to traditional
Medicare, meanwhile, are largely on the decline, but still more common
among duals than non-duals. The study’s authors suggested this movement
was a contributor to overall MA growth, noting that MA’s share of
Medicare enrollment is projected to exceed 50% this year. They also
observed that switching accounted for a growing share of new MA
enrollment growth, rising from 49% in 2016 to 67% in 2020.
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