Wednesday, January 12, 2022

Late Inning Rally

 

By Connor Smith |  Monday, January 10

Never Say Die Nasdaq. U.S. equities recovered from intraday lows today. Tech stocks, buffeted by rising bond yields, stood out in the bounce back.

The Nasdaq Composite was down as much as 2.7%, but closed up nearly 0.05%. The last time the tech-heavy index fell that far only to close higher on the day was Feb. 28, 2020, when the index dropped 3.5% but ended the day up 0.01%. While the S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied from intraday lows, both still closed down on the day.

With not much else going on in markets, rising bond yields continued to weigh on tech stock sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose for its sixth-consecutive trading day. It rose 0.010 percentage point, to 1.779%.

Rising bond yields have weighed on high-growth tech stocks in recent sessions because higher yields make future profits less valuable in current terms.

Barron's Jack Denton and Jacob Sonenshine write that tech stocks recovered after the 10-year yield fell back from 1.8%.

“There are also some signs that rates are getting a bit extended as well with the 10-year yield pulling back after testing Friday’s high 1.8%,” wrote Michael Reining, senior market strategist at New York Stock Exchange. 

Higher short-term rates could also slow down economic growth, and that’s not helping more economically sensitive sectors. The two-year Treasury note’s yield is up to 0.9% from a Friday close of 0.87%. That shows that markets are convinced that the Fed will lift its short-term benchmark lending rate—currently at 0%—more than once.

On Wednesday, inflation data will hit the wires, with economists expecting a 7.2% year-over-year rise in the consumer-price index, according to FactSet. Markets will be looking for cues as to when inflation will have peaked. The hotter inflation is, the more likely the Fed is to move quickly in removing monetary support from the economy and markets. 

It's not just tech stocks. Meme stocks GameStop and AMC Entertainment Holdings, as well as joke cryptos like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu have dropped in recent sessions—a possible signal that Wall Street traders are betting tightening monetary policy will pour cold water on, "you only live once" investments. I write about it here.

Barron's is now accepting nominations for the third annual Barron's 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance. The deadline for submissions is Jan. 15, 2022. Apply here.

 

 


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