Wednesday, January 12, 2022

Vice City Meets FarmVille

Take-Two Interactive Software, known for blockbuster game franchises like Grand Theft Auto and Red Dead Redemption, today announced a deal to acquire mobile game developer Zynga at a $12.7 billion enterprise value.

The cash-and-stock deal, which at $9.86 a share represents a 64% premium to Zynga stock’s closing price on Friday, sent Take-Two shares tumbling 13% today. It was the S&P 500 index's biggest laggard. Zynga is best known for social games like FarmVille and Words with Friends.

My Barron's colleague Sabrina Escobar and I write about it here:

Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter says the deal price looks like a bargain for Take-Two, noting he has a $12 target on Zynga stock.

“I think they know that, and think Zynga guys are excited about the opportunity to gain access to various Take-Two franchises,” Pachter wrote in an email. “Take-Two goes from 10% mobile to over 50%, making them a more steady grower than they were before with an unclear release schedule for their large games. I think it’s a great fit.”

Clearly some traders are skeptical, but Pachter told us that he believes the gap between the deal price and what the market recently priced Zynga at, unfairly or not, reflects a wealth transfer from Take-Two investors to Zynga investors.

“I’m not sure that is fair, but I think that is what is happening,” Pachter added.

I spoke with Take-Two CEO Strauss Zelnick today. The longtime entertainment executive made the case for the deal in a phone interview:

This will create one of the largest publicly traded interactive entertainment companies with over $6 billion in net bookings on a trailing-12-month basis just to start, and an expectation that we’ll grow together about 14% a year over the next few years. And that’s without regard to revenue opportunities that we can create together.

You can read more of our conversation here.

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