Monday, March 21, 2022

A Surprising Comeback for Stocks

 

By Connor Smith |  Friday, March 18

Three Broomsticks. Stocks wrapped up their best week since the 2020 election as momentum continued on Friday amid a so-called triple-witching day.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5.5% on the week, snapping a five-week losing streak. The S&P 500 index fared even better with a gain of 6.2%, though year to date it's still down 6.4%.

The Nasdaq Composite rose 8.2% on the week and turned in its largest weekly point gain on record. Each of the three major indexes posted their largest percentage gains since the week ending Nov. 6.

Friday was the biggest triple witching day in memory, with some $3.5 trillion in options set to expire with more near-the-money options maturing than at any time since 2019, according  Louis Navellier, founder of Navellier & Associates.

"Option influence has grown dramatically since the pandemic began and has been exaggerating equity movements in both directions," Navellier wrote. "Today could be especially colorful in this arena."

Indeed, traders were busy on Friday. The NYSE Composite posted its largest volume day since Jan. 27, 2021—amid GameStop-driven meme mania. The Nasdaq Composite posted its largest volume since Feb. 11, 2021.

On the day, the Nasdaq rose 2.05% while the S&P 500 was up 1.2%.

The high options interest followed this week's momentous interest rate move from the Federal Reserve. The decision to raise rates didn't weigh on stocks Thursday or Friday, though. Quite the contrary.

"Markets took the development in stride and rose on Friday despite rise in hawkish commentary," the team at Fundstrat write. "While this week’s bounce was very encouraging, ominous risks remain and the potential for choppiness remains throughout the first half."

Inflation and geopolitical worries about Russia and Ukraine surely remain on investors' radars. But this week, the luck of the Irish followed by some witchcraft seemed to just what markets needed to mount a comeback.

 

 


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