Wednesday, March 2, 2022

Powell Reads the Room

 

By Jeffrey Cane |  Wednesday, March 2

Plowing Ahead. The economic repercussions of Russia's invasion of Ukraine remain unclear, but the Federal Reserve chairman was able to give investors some small degree of certainty, and that was enough for today. 

Jerome Powell, the Fed chairman (or technically, the chair pro tempore, as he has not yet been re-confirmed by the Senate) told the House Financial Services Committee today that he was "inclined to support a 25-basis-point rate hike" at the the Fed's policy meeting in two weeks' time. He added that going forward, the central bank would "need to be nimble" in response to new data and events -- especially the unfolding conflict in Ukraine.

"We are going to avoid adding uncertainty to what is already an extraordinary challenging and uncertain moment,”  Powell said.  Barron's Alexandra Scaggs lays out the main points of Powell's testimony here

The Fed chief's comments were seen as having a less hawkish and more bullish tone, as they confirmed the consensus on Wall Street. The Russia-Ukraine situation is certainly volatile and risky, but the U.S. economic outlook has not radically changed -- at least not yet.

As a result, Treasury prices retreated after a recent rally, sending their yields higher, while stocks recorded robust gains following yesterday's slump. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note had its biggest daily gain since March 18, 2020, settling at 1.862% from 1.708% yesterday. The yield on the two-year note also rose, to 1.510% from 1.303%.

Stocks enjoyed a broad rally. The S&P 500 closed up 1.9%, with 461 of its components advancing. All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 had solid gains; six of them were up 2% or more.  

Other market barometers ended higher: the Dow Jones Industrial Average, up 1.8%; the Nasdaq Composite, up 1.6%; and the Russell 2000 up 2.5%.

Rising yields bolstered financial stocks. Comerica surged 6.9%, U.S. Bancorp added 4.4%, Wells Fargo advanced 3.8%, and Goldman Sachs Group gained 2.5%.

A 2022 Barron's stock pick, Nordstrom had the kind of day stockpickers dream about: a 37.8% pop after the department-store retailer reported strong fourth-quarter results and gave an upbeat outlook for the year. Before today, the stock had been down 13.6% on the year. Now, it's up 19% year to date. Talk about a turnaround. Teresa Rivas explains it all  here

Ford Motor shares got supercharged in the wake of its plans to create two divisions, one for its legacy combustion-engine business and one for electric vehicles. The stock rose 8.4%, its biggest one-gain since early January, when the company announced it would nearly double production of its electric F-150 Lightning pickups. Ford stock is still down nearly 13% year to date. Al Root has more here.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise lifted its earnings forecast for its fiscal year ending in October and  its stock rocketed more than 10%. Eric Savitz has those details.

The big story in the markets today was again oil. Crude oil futures rose nearly 7%, to $110.60 a barrel, their highest level since May 2011. Chevron gained nearly 3%, Exxon Mobil climbed 1.7%, Baker Hughes jumped 7.2%.

More on oil below. 

 

 


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