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Eakinomics:
Galactically Stupid
Yesterday President Biden extended the deferral of making any payments on
direct student loans, announcing:
[A]s I recognized in
recently extending the COVID-19 national emergency, we are still recovering
from the pandemic and the unprecedented economic disruption it caused. If loan
payments were to resume on schedule in May, analysis of recent data from the
Federal Reserve suggests that millions of student loan borrowers would face
significant economic hardship, and delinquencies and defaults could threaten
Americans’ financial stability.
Accordingly, to enable
Americans to continue to get back on their feet after two of the hardest
years this nation has ever faced, my Administration is extending the pause on
federal student loan repayments through August 31st, 2022.
As a nice bonus, the president kicked in the fact that at the end of the
deferral, all borrowers will be considered in good standing. So, if one never
paid, don’t worry about it.
The whole enterprise is galactically stupid.
Let’s be clear about what this really is:
- It’s a misuse of pandemic
emergency authorities. This has nothing to do with COVID-19.
- It’s a misreading of the
economy.
The job market is incredibly tight, with 1.7 jobs available for every
person seeking work. Workers are quitting at historic rates to take jobs
with better opportunities and higher pay. If people who have gone to
college cannot get a job and make loan payments now, what does it take
to end the deferral?
- It's expensive. A month of student loan
deferral costs the taxpayer $4-$5 billion. According to the Department
of Education, the actions in 2020-2021 added roughly $100
billion to the deficit. Deferring for another four months adds as much
as another $20 billion to the tab. And let’s be honest: On a hot, humid
August Wednesday (namely August 31), at roughly 4:00 p.m., the president
will extend the deferral past the election to December 31. Yesterday’s
action was the first step in adding another $40 billion to the costs
borne by the taxpayer.
- It's money spent with no
return.
The United States currently spends about $30 billion a year on Pell
Grants, and in return raises the education and skills of the nation. The
Biden Administration is proposing to waste another year of Pell funding
– on top of three years already – and get nothing in return: Nobody will
learn what a parsec is, calculate a cosine, read the Iliad, or – God
forbid – learn what’s in the Constitution. Super.
- It's throwing money at the
affluent.
Why? Why? Why? It has been more than adequately documented
that benefits of student loan deferral and forgiveness
disproportionately accrue to the more affluent. One can claim that they
have “significant economic hardship,” and that payment threatens
“financial stability,” but the facts don’t support it.
More deferral might also just be a mistake. It could be electoral pandering.
It may satisfy some intraparty politics. But none of those things makes it
defensible or a good idea.
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