Thursday, May 6, 2021

The Earnings Divide

 

By Alex Eule |  Wednesday, May 5

Leaving the Nest. Things would be a lot simpler if the stock market were just the 30 companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The index rose 97 points, or 0.3%, to an all-time high today. The Dow, which turns 125 years old in three weeks, has closed at a record 22 times this year, matching 2019's total -- and it's only May. 

The index is benefiting from 2021's shift toward value stocks and away from pricier tech stocks. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was down 0.4% on the day, its fourth consecutive decline. It was a particularly tough day for the stay-at-home stocks that helped lead the Nasdaq early in the pandemic. Peloton Interactive tumbled 15% after the company announced a recall of its treadmills. Roku, the streaming TV platform, was off 4.8%. And e-commerce firm Etsy, which was thriving a year ago in part by selling homemade face masks, fell 2.1%.

Etsy was down even more tonight after the company provided a weak outlook for the second quarter. Not surprisingly, a year after their Covid boom, the stay-at-home companies are facing a stretch of tough comparisons.

Etsy said that it expects sales "to decelerate along with the rest of e-commerce as we lap the tremendous 2020 growth rates." Investors, who are never nostalgic, sent Etsy shares down 10% in late trading. (The stock had been up 500% over the last three years.)

Meanwhile, reopening sensitive stocks are sending the opposite message, as consumers venture out. Uber Technologies, whose ride-sharing services ground to a halt last year, posted better-than-expected first-quarter numbers tonight and CEO Dara Khosrowshahi talked about bigger things to come: “Uber is starting to fire on all cylinders, as more consumers are riding with us again while continuing to use our expanding delivery offerings.” Uber's stock was still down on the earnings news. 

Meanwhile, WW, formerly known as Weight Watchers, is also seeing a bounce back as members return to in-person support meetings. “The last two weeks is the first time in a year that our workshop attendance was greater than our virtual workshop attendance,” CEO Mindy Grossman told my colleague Avi Salzman, after WW reported a narrower-than-expected first-quarter loss. Its shares were up tonight.

Tomorrow offers more of the earnings contrast, with reports from some of last year's standouts -- Moderna, Peloton, and Wayfair -- and some of its laggards, including Norwegian Cruise Line and movie theater chain AMC Entertainment.

 

 


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