Tricia Neuman Follow @tricia_neuman on
Twitter, Anthony Damico, and Juliette Cubanski Follow @jcubanski on
Twitter Published: Mar 24, 2020
As the coronavirus continues to spread, the
number of people on Medicare admitted to the hospital for COVID-19 related
illness is expected to rise, mainly because older people are at higher risk of
getting seriously ill if they get infected. According to the CDC’s analysis of preliminary data, 45% of all
hospitalizations and over half (53%) of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions
are for people ages 65 and older. While only a relatively small share of adults
who test positive for coronavirus are expected to get sick enough to be
hospitalized, those who do could face significant out-of-pocket costs for their hospital stay,
and many people on Medicare already face relatively high out-of-pocket health care costs.
We analyze how much Medicare beneficiaries
could pay out-of-pocket for an inpatient hospital admission under traditional
Medicare (assuming no supplemental coverage) or Medicare Advantage plans. As a
proxy for a hospitalization for COVID-19, we analyze costs based on an average
length of stay of 5 days for an adult with simple pneumonia with pleurisy
and 7 days for an inpatient admission for pneumonia involving
an ICU stay. At this stage of the pandemic, we do not have more precise
indicators of length of stay for people admitted specifically for COVID-19 nor
precise indicators by age. For traditional Medicare, beneficiaries without supplemental
coverage would incur the Part A hospital deductible of $1,408 in 2020 (for one spell of illness). For Medicare
Advantage, we use 2020 Medicare Plan Finder data to calculate out-of-pocket
costs for inpatient stays for Medicare Advantage enrollees, weighted by 2020
plan enrollment. Because Medicare Advantage plans typically charge a daily
copayment for inpatient stays beginning on day 1, cost sharing for Medicare
Advantage enrollees varies by length of stay.
Findings
·
Virtually all Medicare
Advantage enrollees would pay less than the Part A hospital deductible for
traditional Medicare for an inpatient stay of 3 days, but for stays of 5 day or
more, at least half of Medicare Advantage enrollees would pay more (Figure 1).
Figure 1: Half of All
Medicare Advantage Enrollees Would Incur Higher Costs Than Beneficiaries in
Traditional Medicare For a 5-Day Hospital Stay
·
Based on a 5-day
hospital stay in 2020, beneficiaries in traditional Medicare would be
responsible for the Part A deductible of $1,408 (assuming no supplemental
coverage that covers some or all of the deductible) while the average Medicare
Advantage enrollee overall would incur $1,200 in out-of-pocket costs (Figure
2). But for those Medicare Advantage enrollees with costs higher than under
traditional Medicare for a 5-day hospital stay, their average cost sharing
would be $1,644.
Figure 2:
Out-of-Pocket Costs for Medicare Beneficiaries in Medicare Advantage Vary by
Length of Inpatient Hospital Stay and Plan Cost-Sharing Amounts
·
Nearly two-thirds
(64%) of Medicare Advantage enrollees are in a plan that requires higher cost
sharing than the Part A hospital deductible in traditional Medicare for a 7-day
inpatient stay, and more than 7 in 10 (72%) are in a plan that requires higher
cost sharing for a 10-day inpatient stay.
o
While average
out-of-pocket costs for Medicare Advantage enrollees for a 7-day hospital stay
are slightly lower than the Part A hospital deductible ($1,350 vs. $1,408),
this $1,350 average is pulled down by a small share of enrollees with
relatively low hospital copays. Most Medicare Advantage enrollees would pay more
than the Part A deductible for a 7-day inpatient stay ($1,762 vs. $1,408).
o
For a 10-day stay, the
average Medicare Advantage enrollee would pay more out-of-pocket than the Part
A deductible in traditional Medicare ($1,606 vs. $1,408). Among the majority of
Medicare Advantage enrollees in plans with cost-sharing requirements that would
exceed the Part A deductible for a 10-day inpatient stay, average out-of-pocket
expenses would be $2,039.
This analysis does not reflect the cost of an
inpatient hospitalization for all beneficiaries in traditional Medicare,
because most have supplemental coverage, such as Medigap or retiree health plans, that would cover some or
all of the Part A deductible. However, 6 million beneficiaries in
traditional Medicare have no supplemental coverage and would be
liable for the full Part A deductible if admitted to the hospital.
The analysis does not take into account
deductibles that some Medicare Advantage enrollees face. Most Medicare
Advantage enrollees (91%) pay no deductible for in-network services covered
under Medicare Parts A and B. Among the 9% who do, the average in-network
deductible is $746. Taking deductibles into account would increase costs for
some enrollees. The analysis also does not take into account maximum
out-of-pocket limits under Medicare Advantage, which would cap the amount
enrollees pay for their care, including hospitalizations. It is possible that
some Medicare Advantage enrollees would reach their out-of-pocket limit during
their inpatient stay, particularly if they had incurred high expenses prior to
an inpatient admission for COVID-19. However, in 2020 the average out-of-pocket
maximum is $4,821, which is above the cost-sharing amount that all Medicare
Advantage enrollees would pay for a 5-day hospital stay, assuming no other
medical expenses during the coverage year.
Discussion
As the coronavirus spreads, the number of
Medicare beneficiaries admitted to the hospital for COVID-19 related symptoms
is likely to rise, and some could face significant out-of-pocket costs as a
result, including the 6 million beneficiaries in traditional Medicare with no
supplemental coverage, who would face the full Part A hospital deductible. Cost
sharing for beneficiaries in Medicare Advantage plans would vary, depending
upon the particular plan they are enrolled in and how long they remain in the
hospital. For shorter hospital stays, most Medicare Advantage enrollees can
expect to pay less than the Part A hospital deductible for traditional
Medicare. However, for hospital stays of 5 days or more, half or more of
Medicare Advantage enrollees would pay more than the Part A deductible in
traditional Medicare. These findings can help to inform policymakers and others
in discussions about whether to waive cost sharing for COVID-19 treatment during the emergency.
https://www.kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/how-much-could-medicare-beneficiaries-pay-for-a-hospital-stay-related-to-covid-19/
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