CMS NEWS
December 6, 2017
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CMS Office of the Actuary
Releases 2016 National Health Expenditures
In 2016, overall national health spending increased 4.3 percent
following 5.8 percent growth in 2015, according to a study by the Office of
the Actuary at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)
published today as a Web First by Health Affairs. Following
Affordable Care Act (ACA) coverage expansion and significant retail
prescription drug spending growth in 2014 and 2015, health care spending
growth decelerated in 2016. The report concludes that the 2016 expenditure
slowdown was broadly based as growth for all major payers (private health
insurance, Medicare, and Medicaid) and goods and service categories
(hospitals, physician and clinical services, and retail prescription drugs)
slowed in 2016.
During 2014 and 2015, the health spending share of the economy increased
0.5 percentage point from 17.2 percent in 2013 to 17.7 percent in 2015. The
increases in the health spending share of the economy in 2014 and 2015 were
largely due to coverage expansion that contributed to 8.7 million
individuals gaining private health insurance coverage and 10.2 million
gaining Medicaid coverage over the period and to significant growth in
retail prescription drug spending. Health care spending grew 1.5 percentage
points faster than the overall economy in 2016, resulting in a 0.2
percentage-point increase in the health spending share of the economy –
from 17.7 percent in 2015 to 17.9 percent in 2016.
Additional highlights from the report:
- Private health
insurance
spending increased 5.1 percent to $1.1
trillion in 2016, which was slower than the 6.9 percent growth in
2015. The deceleration was largely driven by slower enrollment growth
in 2016 after two years of faster enrollment growth due to ACA
coverage expansion.
- Medicare spending grew 3.6 percent to $672.1 billion in 2016, which
was slower growth than the previous two years when spending grew 4.8
percent in 2015 and 4.9 percent in 2014. The slower growth in 2016 was
due to slower growth in spending for both Medicare fee-for-service
(2.2 percent in 2015 compared to 1.8 percent in 2016) and Medicare
Advantage (11.1 percent in 2015 compared to 7.4 percent in 2016).
- Medicaid spending growth slowed in 2016, increasing 3.9 percent to
$565.5 billion. State and local Medicaid expenditures grew 3.2 percent
in 2016, while federal Medicaid expenditures increased 4.4 percent in
2016. The slower overall growth in Medicaid spending was much
lower than in the previous two years, when Medicaid spending grew 11.5
percent in 2014 and 9.5 percent in 2015. The higher growth in 2014 and
2015 was due in part to the initial impacts of the ACA’s expansion of
Medicaid enrollment during that period.
- Out-of-pocket spending includes
direct consumer payments such as copayments, deductibles, and spending
not covered by insurance. Out-of-pocket spending grew 3.9
percent to $352.5 billion in 2016, faster than the 2.8 percent growth
in 2015. Additionally, 2016 was the fastest rate of growth since
2007 and was higher than the average annual growth of 2.0 percent
during 2008-15. The faster growth in 2016 was due in part to a
continued shift towards enrollment in high-deductible health plans,
which was somewhat offset by a continued decrease in the number of
uninsured in 2016.
- Retail prescription
drug
spending slowed in 2016, increasing 1.3
percent to $328.6 billion. The slower growth in 2016 follows two years
of significant growth in 2014 and 2015, 12.4 percent and 8.9 percent,
respectively. This significant growth in 2014 and 2015 was largely
attributable to increased spending on new medicines and price growth
for existing brand-name drugs, particularly for drugs used to treat
hepatitis C. Growth slowed in 2016 primarily due to fewer new drug
approvals, slower growth in brand-name drug spending as spending for
hepatitis C drugs declined, and a decline in spending for generic
drugs as price growth slowed.
- In 2016,
the federal government and households accounted for the largest shares
of spending (28 percent each) followed by private businesses (20
percent), state and local governments (17 percent), and other private
revenue (7 percent). After two consecutive years of rapid growth (10.9
percent in 2014 and 8.9 percent in 2015), federal government spending
for health care slowed, increasing 3.9 percent in 2016. The primary
reason for the deceleration in federal spending growth in 2016 was
federal Medicaid spending, which grew more slowly in 2016 as a result
of less Medicaid enrollment growth.
The CMS Office of the Actuary’s report will appear on the CMS website
at: https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/NationalHealthAccountsHistorical.html.
An article about the study is also being published by Health Affairs
as a Web First (http://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.1377/hlthaff.2017.1299)
and will also appear in the journal’s January 2018 issue.
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