Drew Altman, Kaiser Family Foundation October
14, 2019
New polling
shows that most of the public does not think President Trump has or will have a
health care plan.
Driving the
news: The results of the latest Kaiser Family Foundation’s tracking
poll, which will be out Tuesday, show that most Republicans are sticking with
Trump, but few other voters are buying his repeated promises about delivering a
“phenomenal health plan.”
By the numbers: 81% of
Republicans are somewhat or very confident Trump will deliver on his health
care promises.
- But
95% of Democrats and 61% of independents say they are not confident Trump
will follow through on those promises.
- In
fact, just 37% of those polled were aware that Trump had promised to
release a plan to replace the Affordable Care Act.
Between the
lines: Trump’s argument that he’ll protect Medicare — intended as a
counterweight to Medicare for All — also isn’t sticking, the poll found.
- 49%
of seniors trust Democrats to do a better job making sure seniors on
Medicare are able to get the health care they need, compared with just 33%
who said they trust Republicans.
What’s
next: For now, this is all theoretical. But if the courts ultimately
strike down the Affordable Care Act — as the Trump administration is urging
them to do — then Trump will actually need a replacement.
- Public
opinion could shift quickly and sharply in that environment, even among
many Republicans.
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