Tuesday, December 28, 2021

A Persistent Pandemic

 

By Connor Smith |  Tuesday, December 28

Not So Fast. The S&P 500 seemed poised for its 70th record close of 2021. Not today.

Fresh off yet another record, the market benchmark retreated suddenly in afternoon trading. It closed down 0.1%, at 4,786.35 after setting an intraday high of 4,785.49. Of its 500 components, 305 rose while 192 fell. The remaining three remained unchanged. DexCom, Etsy, and Penn National Gaming were the biggest laggards of the group.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%, to its second-highest close in history. It's off 0.1% from its closing high of 36,432.22, set on Nov. 8. The Dow has risen for five-straight trading days, gaining 4.2% along the way. The Nasdaq Composite didn't fare so well, dropping 0.6%. It's off 1.7% from its Nov. 19 closing high.

Fears about surging Covid-19 cases continued to weigh on sentiment, though investors are far from panicking. Apple stock dropped 0.6% after the company closed its New York City stores to window shoppers. The company said buy-online, pick-up-in-store options will continue. The company's market capitalization sits at $2.94 trillion.

Investors are starting to bet that Covid-19 is becoming endemic, my Barron's colleagues Joe Woelfel and Carleton English write.

“[Covid] is likely to become endemic, meaning it will not totally disappear, nor does it need to for some semblance of normality to return. It just needs to be defanged enough to become a nuisance we can live, work and play with,” Michael Darda, Chief Economist & Market Strategist at MKM Partners, wrote Tuesday.

His statements echo earlier comments made by Brian Vendig, president of MJP Wealth Advisors, a wealth-management firm based in Westport, Conn. Vendig said that market gains seen earlier in the week suggest the market is “confident that we can overcome the near-term challenges from the Omicron variant.”

Vendig said the market’s focus in 2021 largely will remain the same next year, with investors continuing to watch “the trajectory of the pandemic, supply-chain issues, inflation and how the Federal Reserve plans to shape policy.”

That could explain the Nasdaq's decline and the S&P 500 technology sector falling 0.5%.

Still, with global daily global Covid-19 cases at their highest levels since the start of the pandemic, per Bloomberg data, it may be time to shelve those New Year's Eve party plans. There's always the stock market; U.S. equity markets will still be open on Friday, not observing New Year's this time around.

Investors can thank NYSE Rule 7.2. On the bright side: the three large indexes have an extra day to break records before year-end. The clock is ticking.

Barron's is now accepting nominations for the third annual Barron's 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance. The deadline for submissions is Jan. 15, 2022. Apply here.

 

 


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