Tuesday, May 25, 2021

A Directionless Market

 

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Tuesday, May 25

Wandering. Stocks gave up their morning gains to close down slightly today. There wasn't much of a catalyst for the midday reversal, and trading action in general in recent days has felt like that of a market in search of a direction. 

Inflation concerns remain top of mind. Federal Reserve officials have emphasized that monetary policy will remain supportive of the economic recovery for some time yet, but recent meeting minutes suggested that they may be easing off the gas in the coming months. And companies across industries are facing challenges related to their supply chains, raw materials costs, or labor supply. It's a lot of moving parts.

On the pandemic front, the number of new Covid-19 cases reported in the U.S. fell below 20,000 yesterday, according to data that was reported today. It's a major symbolic milestone and the lowest weekday total in almost a year. (Weekend numbers tend to be lower because not all states report new cases then.)

Hospitalizations are also declining. It illustrates how far we have come in the fight against the virus since vaccines began to be rolled out.

The U.S. is on track to have 50% of adults fully vaccinated in the coming days. And after comparatively slow starts to their vaccination programs, other developed countries and regions like Canada and the European Union are catching up. Case counts and hospitalizations there are declining, too.

It’s allowing economies to reopen and business to return to normal. Too bad that all of that post-pandemic optimism is already priced into the stock market. Investors now have more complicated questions to navigate.

But they won't be answered just yet. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both slipped 0.2% today, while the Nasdaq Composite ended practically flat, down just 0.03%.

 

 


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