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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® shows that
consumer sentiment in the United States stabilized in May following sharp
declines in March and April. The Index now stands at 86.6 (1985=100), up from
85.7 in April.
Part of the Index is based on the consumer outlook for
business conditions, the labor market, and income over the next six months.
The slight improvement in overall confidence was exclusively due to improved
consumer sentiment about business conditions in their local area.
Sentiment about job prospects stabilized in May, but a
majority of consumers surveyed still expect job prospects to improve.
However, a majority of consumers expect their income prospects to decline
rather than improve. The last time we saw such pessimism regarding income was
during the Great Recession.
In sum, consumer spending is not likely to propel economic
recovery in the months ahead.
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