The Expectations Index, part of The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey®,
measures consumer expectations over the next six months. This March,
consumer expectations suffered one of its largest one-month declines—on par
with steep drops of the past. It indicates increased pessimism for business
conditions, employment, and income prospects. And this may be just the
beginning: such a steep drop often signals a significant collapse in
consumer spending and a severe economic contraction ahead. We can expect
further declines in April as the effects of measures to curtail the spread
of COVID-19 and widening unemployment continue to take hold.
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