Friday, April 26, 2019

Why UnitedHealth Is Due For A Rebound


Apr. 16, 2019 2:46 PM ET
Summary
UnitedHealth reported strong first-quarter results.
Markets are still fixated over the political uncertainties surrounding the sector.
Buying opportunity discussed.
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Despite beating Wall Street analyst expectations for the first quarter, shares of UnitedHealth (UNH) slumped after the report. What is the story value investors are missing? With attractive valuations, pitted against the general desire to avoid health care plan and drug store stocks, investors should look again at UNH's stock.
First-Quarter Results and 2019 Outlook
UNH reported EPS GAAP of $3.56 as revenue rose 9.3% to $60.31 billion. The revenue beat by $500 million clearly demonstrates that the company’s prospects are getting clouded over the risks of the government passing Medicare for all citizens. Optum and UnitedHealthcare once again reported strong earnings. Net margin improved to 5.7% on earnings from operations of $4.8 billion.
UNH even increased its 2019 adjusted EPS to $14.50-$14.75. Net income came in at $13.80-$14.05 a share. Cash flow of $3.2 billion is consistent with last year’s levels. Management noted strong return on equity at 26.8% and dividend payments growing 19.1% year over year to $860 million.
Stock Drops Irrationally
UnitedHealth’s 7.5% weekly drop and nearly 25% from 52-week highs set last December 2018 appears irrational. The stock now trades below one times sales, while the forward P/E is below 15 times. Yet, with the strong shareholder returns, 23% earnings from operations from UnitedHealthcare, and its strong customer base, markets are ignoring the company’s upside potential.
UnitedHealthcare Employer & Individual added 705,000 customers while UnitedHealthcare Medicare & Retirement added 405,000 more people in the first quarter compared to last year. Even UnitedHealthcare Global added 30,000 more people year on year.

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