Tuesday, December 1, 2020

Nikola's Wild Week

 

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Tuesday, December 1

Jolt. Stocks marched higher today, following details of a new bipartisan fiscal stimulus proposal and the latest dose of manufacturing data from the U.S. and China, which showed a continuing global economic recovery. Covid-19 vaccine optimism underpins it all, and continues to buoy markets.

The S&P 500 closed up 1.1%, at an all-time high, while the Nasdaq Composite added 1.3% to set its own record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6% and the Russell 2000 gained 0.9%. Both are about a percentage point below their records set last week.

Today's was a broad rally: 10 of 11 sectors in the S&P 500 closed in the green. Communication services led the market higher, finishing up 1.8% on a good day for media stocks. Financials was also among the leaders, and industrials was the lone sector to fall today.

This afternoon, a group of Democratic and Republican senators including  Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia and  Sen. Susan Collins of Maine unveiled a $908 billion fiscal stimulus package. The plan includes extended federal unemployment benefits, funding for state and local governments, and additional Payroll Protection Program funding. It also includes funds for Covid-19 vaccine distribution and administration.

How far that proposal goes is anyone's guess, but it's the first serious discussion of fiscal stimulus since before the November election. A Dec. 11 deadline looms to avoid a government shutdown. Congress goes away for the holidays on Dec. 21. Needless to say, fiscal stimulus to tide over the individuals, businesses, and governments most affected  by the pandemic remains far from certain.

“We can see what may be the light at the end of the tunnel with the vaccines,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told members of the Senate Banking Committee today. “Some fiscal support now would really help move the economy along as well.”

Today's economic highlights included the Institute for Supply Management’s November manufacturing index, which came in at 57.5. That matched prior expectations, but was down from October’s 59.3. Nonetheless, it's the seventh-straight month above 50, signifying an expanding U.S. manufacturing economy.

In China, a private-sector survey of manufacturing was better than expected, showing that Chinese factory activity accelerated at the fastest pace in a decade last month. An official government survey showed similar industrial economic strength. Stock indexes in Asia rose strongly today.

As far as economic data goes, all eyes are on Friday's November jobs report and how much the fall surge in Covid-19 cases is affecting the recovery. Less-than-usual holiday season hiring could also weigh on the numbers. That result could even jolt Congress into action on stimulus.

 

 


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