Tuesday, February 23, 2021

$100-Billion Snap

 

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Tuesday, February 23

Bouncing Back. Today began how yesterday ended, with a pullback in stocks of buzzy software companies and electric-vehicle start-ups, Bitcoin, and other growth-oriented and recently hot areas of the market—which weighed on major indexes. But an afternoon rally following remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stemmed the bleeding, and indexes ended the day roughly where they started it.

Angst about rising bond yields was again the most cited reason for the tech-stock declines this morning. But during the first of two days of congressional testimony today, Powell tamped down concerns that the central bank would be tightening monetary policy any time soon, as the bond market has been signaling.

The Fed chairman largely reiterated his frequently dovish remarks of late, emphasizing that the recovery has a “long way to go.” Essentially, his message was that the central bank won’t be taking its foot off the stimulus gas pedal until unemployment falls significantly and inflation looks to remain above its 2% target for an extended period.

Powell didn't come across as concerned about the recent sharp rise in Treasury yields, or if that could cause rising borrowing costs to damp the pace of the recovery. Read more from Barron's Alexandra Scaggs here.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note declined slightly today, to around 1.36%—but is up from 1.1% less than two weeks ago. Higher rates erode the present value of future cash flows—especially for growth companies like technology firms, which expect a large chunk of their profits to come further out into the future than more mature businesses.

Powell's soothing words pushed stocks, and especially growth areas of the market, well off their worst levels of the morning. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at its second-highest level ever, up less than 0.1% after having been down 1.2% shortly after the opening bell. The S&P 500 reversed a 1.8% loss to rise 0.1%, completing its largest intraday turnaround since June. The Nasdaq Composite bounced back from a 3.9% loss to slip just 0.5% after losing 2.5% on Monday.

Growth stocks were still the day's laggards, but only just. The S&P 500 technology sector closed down 0.3%, while consumer discretionary lost 0.7%. Both had been down around 4% in the morning.

Cyclical and more value-oriented sectors were better off, with S&P 500 energy stocks closing up 1.7% and financials gaining 0.6%, while defensives held their ground: Utilities rose 0.8% and consumer staples added 0.1%.

 

 


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