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Eakinomics: The
Toll of Executive Overaction
The costs of the regulatory state are a common topic of Eakinomics. Those
discussions typically focus on the burden regulations impose on
the private sector and the concomitant distortion of economic activity.
As AAF’s Daniel Bosch points out in his latest research,
there is another dimension to the problem: “The reliance on executive
action creates uncertainty in the economy as well as attempted policy
solutions that are both costly and inadequate to address major problems.”
I think there is a lot to be said for this insight. One of the surprising
nuggets in Bosch's piece, however, is how it ended up this way. A big part
of the explanation is sheer capacity to undertake policymaking. Per Bosch:
“From the late 1940s, legislative branch expenditures steadily rose for the
next 50 years, with the majority of spending on increased staffing.” Yet
“in the mid-1990s, congressional staffing levels began to decline.
According to data from the Brookings
Institution, House of Representatives committee staff from 1979-2015 levels
reached a high of 2,321 in 1991, and a low of 1,014 in 2007. Similarly,
Senate committee staff levels over the same period declined from 1,410 in
1979 to 951 in 2015. Staffing in personal offices and support agencies such
as the Congressional Research Service also fell. According to a 2016 estimate, the legislative branch
consisted of about 30,000 employees on a budget of $4.5 billion per year,
while the executive branch had grown to 4.1 million employees and budget of
$3.9 trillion.”
Money and bodies are concentrated in the executive branch, and the
policymaking lead has moved with them. But, as noted above, the nature of
the policymaking is less than desirable. By definition, executive action is
not permanent, and the partisan divides of this moment guarantee sharp
swings in policy incentives. On top of this instability, as Congress fails
to enact new legislation to address current policy issues, any regulations
have to be wedged into existing authority based on old laws. The poster
child for this is using the Clean Air Act to address emissions of
greenhouse gases. The twin sister is network neutrality regulations. The
upshot is bad regulation (often thrown out by the courts) and high
uncertainty.
What can be done? Bosch recommends: “In order to correct the
executive/legislative imbalance, Congress must invest more in its own
capacity and overcome the partisanship that prevents more efficient
solutions on major issues than is available through regulations based on
existing authorities.”
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