Wednesday, October 20, 2021

Driving and Chewing Gum at the Same Time

It was a big day for Ford Motor stock today, which had the highest trading volume in the S&P 500 and was the index's fifth-best performer. The auto maker's shares added 4% to close at their highest level since all the way back in April of 2015. It extends the stock's run to some 110% in just under a year.

The catalyst for the surge in Ford shares has been a simultaneous improvement in the company's near-term and long-term outlooks. Al Root explains:

According to [Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy], Ford is managing the 'two clock problem' better these days. Two clocks is Levy’s metaphor for the problem all traditional auto makers have. Auto makers need to post strong results now as the economy improves, but they also need to transition to an electric vehicle-centric world, which requires efficient capital management and product development.

Levy upgraded his rating on Ford stock to Buy, from Hold, on Wednesday and gave the shares a price target some 33% above recent levels.

Despite a pervasive lack of semiconductors, labor shortages, and other Covid-19 related challenges, Ford has managed to impress investors and analysts with its results each quarter over the past year or so.

The company, meanwhile, has announced new or accelerated existing EV investments and products, such as the F-150 Lightning (Al got to test drive that electric pickup earlier this month). That's taking care of the future and laying the groundwork for long-term prosperity.

Investors and Wall Street have come around. When CEO Jim Farley took the reins about a year ago, only 21% of analysts recommended buying Ford shares. Now, nearly two-thirds do. And their average target price on the shares has more than doubled. It's a big shift in sentiment.

Ford's next test comes in a week, when it reports third-quarter results. Read more from Al on the stock's latest upgrade here.


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