Last week the Trump
Administration released its plan for
a massive reorganization of the federal government. Most of the headlines were
grabbed by large-scale proposals like merging the Departments of Education and
Labor. But as noted
by AAF’s new Director of Financial Services Policy Tom Wade, quietly
tucked away on pages 75 to 77 are some important hints regarding where the
administration is headed on the future of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and housing
finance more generally.
Recall that the housing government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) are private
entities that benefited from a wide variety of special government treatment
(e.g., a line of credit at the Treasury, exemption from normal securities’
registration laws). Markets viewed them as implicitly backed by the federal
government, which allowed them to be thinly capitalized and borrow cheaply to
fund their two lines of business: (a) a guarantee for investors in their
mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and (b) large monoline hedge funds that
invested in their MBS and other housing assets. When the financial crisis hit
in 2008, the two entities were placed in conservatorship. They remain there to
this day.
The essence of the White House proposal is to privatize the GSEs by ending both
the conservatorship and their federal charter. It also intends to “reduce [the
GSEs’] role in the housing market” by opening up the secondary mortgage
market to additional competition from new entrants. Those competing in
this market would have access to an explicit federal guarantee for their
MBS, but they would have to pay for it to compensate the taxpayers for the
budgetary risk. The secondary mortgage market would be regulated by a new
federal entity, and responsibility for affordable housing would be
largely transferred to the Department of Housing and Urban Development
(HUD).
The bare bones of this proposal look quite promising. Affordable
housing is important but it should be done on-budget and
through the relevant federal agency (HUD). That ensures a fair fight for
budgetary resources and ongoing congressional oversight of the programs. Better
competition in the secondary mortgage market is also a “must have” policy item.
But for that to develop effectively, care must be taken to strip Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac of every unfair advantage that has accrued due to
their privileged status and ensure that they compete on the basis of what they
really are: large, systemically important (and dangerous) financial
institutions that should be subject to an enhanced prudential regulatory
regime.
The White House plan is a good first step. Now comes the part that has been a
bridge too far for 10 years: follow through and real reform.
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