Monday, July 6, 2020

Next to a Trillion


Alphabet rejoined the trillion-dollar club last week. The exclusive group of companies with trillion-dollar plus valuations now includes four names, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon.com, and Google-parent Alphabet.  
Don't expect another entrant anytime soon -- a strange gap has opened up in corporate America. After the four $1 trillion stocks, there's a major drop-off. The next largest company within the S&P 500 is Facebook at $665 billion. And that's the only one between $500 billion and $1 trillion. 
No. 6 is Berkshire Hathaway all the way down at $434 billion. Big tech has opened a huge lead over corporate America.
Over the weekend, Eric Savitz attempted a fun exercise, handicapping the race for the next trillionaire. Facebook remains the odds-on favorite, just based on its current market value lead. But it's not a shoo-in, Eric notes. 
He has a few other potentials: Tesla, whose shares soared another 13% today; Walt Disney, which will eventually enjoy a post-Covid rebound. Or maybe Walt Disney-plus Netflix -- a hypothetical merger would give the companies a market value approaching half a billion.
And then there's another intriguing option, Eric notes:  a spinoff from one of the existing trillion-dollar firms. Amazon's cloud business, AWS, could approach a billion-dollar valuation on its own. Maybe the same for Alphabet's YouTube, or Facebook's Instagram
Eric has a few more possibilities. You can read his full story here

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