Thursday, September 10, 2020

Here Come the Dividends

 

 

By Alex Eule |  Thursday, September 10

Now What? So much for that comeback. The major indexes all fell today for the fourth time in five sessions. The S&P 500, which finished the day down 1.8%, is off nearly 7% over that five-day span. We can blame lawmakers' inability to pass a new stimulus deal, stubbornly high jobless claims, or worries about Covid-19 vaccines. But the most likely explanation for stocks' weakness is the simplest: After a torrid summer, investors are welcoming the fall by taking profits. 

A rough week hasn't changed stocks' remarkable run in the face of the pandemic and unemployment that's still hovering around 8%. For the year, the S&P 500 is up 3.4%. And if you bought stocks in late March, you've seen a 50% return. 

This morning, the Labor Department said that 884,000 Americans had filed first-time claims for unemployment, slightly above economists' forecast. Carleton English notes on Barrons.com that jobless claims during the last recession topped out at 665,000. Carleton quotes one strategist who says the latest numbers are "consistent with stabilization but not improvement per se."

The job figures put more focus on Capitol Hill's next move just as the Senate failed to pass a $300 million aid package, leaving any additional stimulus package from Washington in serious doubt. Combine that with the end of earnings season and no big changes expected from the Federal Reserve during its meeting next week, and investors are left without much to look forward to. 

 

 

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