Tuesday, November 3, 2020

What The Market Does After Elections

 

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Tuesday, November 3

Manufactured Gains. Investors enjoyed a broad rally today, with 451 of the S&P 500's components closing in the green today. The index overall rose 1.8%, the Nasdaq Composite added 1.9%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 2.1%. 

The rally took an economically optimistic tone, with industrials and financials the best-performing groups in the S&P 500. Oil prices rose and bond yields fell.

That could be due to some mean reversion, as stocks continued to bounce back from their worst week since March. It could also be thanks to a bit of early election uncertainty fading away, with no last-minute surprises or meaningful tightening of the polls. (More on that below.)

Earnings reports continued today, with all 14 S&P 500 companies' results beating consensus estimates on their top and bottom lines. Industrial companies in particular outperformed expectations, helping to boost the sector overall.

Eaton, Emerson Electric, Johnson Controls International, and AGCO all did handily better than Wall Street had forecast today. Add to that yesterday's October Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index from the Institute for Supply Management. That came in at 59.3, versus the 56 consensus estimate.

Guidance from industrial firms has been cautiously optimistic, with management teams citing the Covid-19 pandemic as a continued wildcard. But the rebound in the global industrial economy is showing up in the numbers.

That could be the needed catalyst to set off a lasting rally in industrial stocks, Al Root wrote today. The group has handily outperformed the broader market and fist-half 2020 winners like technology over the past few months. But Al noted that industrials valuations remain attractive relative to tech in particular.

Other third-quarter results today came from Fox, Gartner, and Zebra Technologies. On deck to report tomorrow are another 23 S&P 500 firms, including Expedia Group, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, and Qualcomm.

 

Follow Barron's Election Night Coverage

Barron's reporters and editors are on duty tonight, bringing you the latest results as they come in, with market reactions and what it all means for investors. Find our live blog here and get all the coverage at barrons.com. 

 

 


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