Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Experts Predict Home Delivery of Rx Drugs Will Increase

by Peter Johnson

 

Mail-order pharmacies garnered a larger-than-ever share of the prescription drug business due to the pandemic.


Mail order will increase:

  • "We're seeing a steady increase of mail order," says Brian Anderson, a principal at Milliman Inc. He expects that, in the next few years, delivered medication will account for half of all fills, with at least 20% of total volume originating from mail-order pharmacies.
  • Anderson says Milliman's clients have seen mail order grow and remain high. He adds that fills overall are up. In particular, there are notable "increases in mental health categories, [like] antidepressants," Anderson says.

Data varies:

  • Steve Johnson, vice president of health outcomes at Blue Cross Blue Shield affiliate-owned PBM Prime Therapeutics, says via email that Prime has seen prescription dispensing return to a pre-pandemic baseline in various categories.
  • "For some of our Rx Collaborative employer clients, mail order utilization has either remained flat or continues to trend slightly downward since 2Q20. On average, our employers are seeing a gradual decrease of 5 percentage points of mail prescriptions since 2Q20," Chantell Sell Regan, Pharm.D., national pharmacy practice clinical lead at Willis Towers Watson, wrote in an email.

Rethink retail pharmacies:

  • Anderson says that it's helpful to understand the shift to mail order as a move to home delivery away from a strict retail experience rather than a transition to mail-order pharmacy dispensing. He expects that many fills will still originate in a retail pharmacy but will be delivered after being filled.
  • Ashraf Shehata, national sector lead for life sciences at KPMG, says that PBMs have essentially become mail-order retailers, and need to start thinking in a consumer-centric manner. A challenge for the sector, he explains, "is rationalizing retail versus PBM" operations.

From RADAR on Drug Benefits

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