Thursday, July 29, 2021

Robinhood's Aim Was Off

 

By Jeffrey Cane |  Thursday, July 29

Onward? There’s always a danger in reading too much into a single session, especially on what was the sleepiest trading day in a week, but there were developments to give stock market bulls confidence today.

First, investors overlooked a disappointing headline number on second-quarter U.S. economic growth, choosing to focus instead on signs in the report that consumer spending remains strong. They also shrugged off weekly jobless numbers that missed Wall Street’s consensus. And the poorly received initial public offering of Robinhood Markets did not discourage buying elsewhere in the market.

Signs of momentum on an infrastructure spending bill were encouraging, as were a broad spectrum of robust second-quarter earnings reports. Ford Motor ended up 3.8%, Qualcomm rose 6%, Yum! Brands gained more than 6%

The misses on the economic data were also positive for stocks in that that they support a narrative that the Federal Reserve will continue to support the economy for a while longer. As Lisa Beilfuss noted on Barrons.com:

The softer-than-expected GDP report, together with disappointing data on claims for unemployment benefits Thursday, puts some firepower behind Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments Wednesday that the labor market still has a ways to go before it is recovered, says Mike Loewengart, managing director of investment strategy at E*Trade Financial. The slowdown in the improvement in jobless claims emphasizes the weakness in employment, while the GDP miss puts a finer point on the fact that growth may be stalling, he says.

The S&P 500 closed up 0.4%, for its second highest close on record. Nine of its 11 sectors ended in positive territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4%, while the Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.1%.

Gold rose 0.8%, to $1,831.20 an ounce, its sharpest percentage gain since May 6.  Bitcoin, less often mentioned as an “alternative” to gold these days, fell below $40, 000, although it's still up 14.9% so far for the month.  Crude oil, meanwhile, advanced 1.7%, to $73.62 a barrel.

After the market close today, Amazon.com reported sales that missed expectations, and the stock was down 7% in after-hours trading. The miss, says Barron’s Eric J. Savitz “reflects a shortfall in Amazon’s e-commerce business, which suffered a sharp deceleration from recent growth trends.”

That report came a day after Facebook put up consensus-beating numbers, yet saw its shares fall 4% today.  Further gains in stocks may be tested tomorrow if disappointment over Amazon spills over elsewhere. 

 

 


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