Thursday, July 29, 2021

What's Ahead for Tech?

Tech companies' latest earnings reports come at a key point in the economic rebound. Technology helped much of the workforce survive the pandemic, and early in the Covid crisis, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella forecast technology's vital role. Here's what he said on Microsoft's earnings call back in May 2020: 

As Covid-19 impacts every aspect of our work and life, we have seen two years' worth of digital transformation in two months. From remote teamwork and learning to sales and customer service to critical cloud infrastructure and security, we are working alongside customers every day to help them stay open for business in a world of remote everything.

 There is both immediate surge demand and systemic structural changes across all of our solution areas that will define the way we live and work going forward.

Tonight, a little more than a year later,  a Wall Street analyst asked Nadella to reflect on those comments: Did Covid pull forward demand or "is there a lot more to come?"

That has become the critical question for most tech companies as investors turn to more reopening-focused stocks. 

Nadella, for his part, isn't predicting a sudden end to tech's dominance. Here's his response on Microsoft's earnings call tonight: 

5% of the world GDP is tech spend, it's projected to double. I think that doubling will happen in a more accelerated pace. ... What's going to happen is every business, whether you're a retailer or a manufacturer, in the service sector, public sector or private sector, digital adoption is the way you're going to be both resilient as well as transform the core business processes.

Nadella has proven to be one of the country's best CEOs. If he's right about the pace of transformation, tech stocks could still be very attractive. 

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