"Explosive change is
coming in our ability to diagnose, treat, and even cure many debilitating
diseases. Indeed, a golden age could be dawning for patients and healthcare
practitioners—and investors in pharmaceutical and biotech stocks."
So writes Barron's Lauren Rublin, introducing
our latest Roundtable focused on the
topic of healthcare
and biotech investing. There's no shortage of innovation—and hype—in
the sector today, and Roundtable members sat down recently to hash
out the differences between the two, including plenty of large and small stock
picks to play the most promising trends and technologies.
The panel began with a
discussion of the current state of the Covid-19 pandemic and what it has meant
for the healthcare industry, the drug development process, and more.
Here are a few highlights:
Covid-19 is
still in the picture. How will the pandemic evolve from here?
Ziad Bakri, manager of
the $20 billion, five-star-rated T. Rowe Price
Health Science fund (PRHSX):
We are learning to live with
the virus. As the population gains some level of immunity, we will probably see
continued waves, but they will grow more moderate. Covid will go from pandemic
to endemic. We will have to adapt our behaviors. Measures like mask-wearing in
crowds will be normal, as it is in many countries in Asia. The world is forever
changed, but we will figure out how to do in a safe way the vast majority of
things that made us happy in the past.
Liisa Bayko, biotechnology
analyst at Evercore ISI:
I agree, but I’d note
that the response to Covid differs by region. In Canada, where I was visiting
family recently, life is very restricted. In the short term, we are fumbling
our way through. There is still a debate about boosters, and we’ll be chasing
variants for a while. We need a long-term vision.
What are the
ramifications of Covid for the healthcare industry?
Stephen Berenson, managing
partner of life-sciences investor Flagship
Pioneering and Moderna board member:
We were caught
with our pants down by Covid. There wasn’t an ounce of preparedness that any
country in the world was able to bring to this problem. That is a big lesson
for the future. There are going to be efforts and investments to help prepare
companies against what could be the next pandemic.
Second, there
was a tremendous amount of innovation around the regulatory process for getting
Covid vaccines approved. Thoughtful people are going to look at those
innovations and ask whether some should be incorporated in the future in the
drug-review and approval process.
Finally, the two companies
at the forefront of helping the world address the pandemic never sold a product
prior to their Covid-19 vaccines. There was a tidal wave of skepticism around
the ability of the BioNTech and Pfizer partnership, and Moderna, to do what they did.
I hope people look at the power of innovative companies differently in the
future.
Will the
experience of Covid speed up the drug-approval process in the future?
Berenson:
I don’t want to make that
prediction, but there have been innovations in the process that could be made
permanent and enable approvals of safe and efficacious medicines that get to
patients faster.
Chris Schott, healthcare
analyst at J.P. Morgan:
I agree with Stephen on
regulatory innovation. There is a debate occurring about whether the Food and
Drug Administration has become less predictable. We have seen industry and
regulatory agencies come together in an area like Covid, where there is huge
unmet need, to think about best practices and unique paths to market.
Hopefully, that can be applied more broadly in the future.
Read much more from the healthcare Roundtable's lively discussion and see members' stock picks here.
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