Wednesday, September 29, 2021

The Price Is No Longer Right

 

By Alex Eule |  Wednesday, September 29

Small Victories? Stocks rose a day after their biggest selloff in months, but it wasn't exactly a buy-the-dip type day that bulls might have been hoping for. 

The S&P 500 followed up its 2% decline with a 0.2% gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 91 points, or 0.3%. (The Nasdaq Composite actually dropped 0.2% a day after it fell 2.8%.)

It's hard to blame investors for the lack of enthusiasm. They're surrounded by uncertainty. While there was progress today toward averting a government shutdown, the debt ceiling remains an issue, with no obvious path right now to avoiding a U.S. default. Meanwhile, $4.5 trillion dollars worth of spending bills could pass this week ... or they could be defeated. Or we could wind up with something in the middle. It's the kind of uncertainty that investors love to hate. 

One piece of good news for stock investors: Bond yields paused their ascent. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was up 0.006 percentage point today, to 1.540%. While it was technically a seventh consecutive rise, the tiny move suggests the relentless rise in yields could be waning. 

For all the worries, it's worth noting that stocks are still doing well. With the third quarter coming to a close, the S&P 500 is up 1.4% over the three-month stretch. Assuming no big selloff tomorrow, it would mark the index's sixth consecutive quarterly rise -- the longest winning streak since 2017. On the year, the S&P 500 is still up 16.1%.

 

 


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