Tuesday, January 25, 2022

No Relief for Stocks

 

By Alex Eule |  Friday, January 21

The New Normal. We might be turning the corner on the pandemic, but the stock market is acting a lot like the early days of Covid. After another rough day, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 both closed Friday with their worst weekly loss since the week ending March 20, 2020. That was basically the start of the pandemic quarantines, as most of us remember all too well. 

Back then, it was rising cases unnerving the market. This time, it might actually be how quickly they're falling and how fast the Federal Reserve is plotting a course to normalcy -- and higher interest rates. 

Fed policy makers meet next week, with their policy statement out on Wednesday, followed by Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Every meeting is important, but next week's could take on extra significance -- most likely it will be the last meeting before the rate hikes actually begin in March. Here's my colleague Randall Forsyth writing in Barron's this weekend about the Fed's big week ahead: 

The Fed has maintained its crisis policy of zero interest rates and active bond buying, initiated in March 2020 during the near-meltdown of markets resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic. The virus and its variants persist, but the economy has largely recovered, with the unemployment rate under 4% and the labor market beset by worker shortages. Inflation, meanwhile, has soared to 7% from a combination of supply constraints and pumped-up demand.

And nowhere is the impact of Fed policy more apparent than in asset prices, from the doubling of the S&P 500 since its March 2020 bottom, to home prices jumping about 20%. Investors will be listening carefully to what Powell & Co. say this coming week and beyond about normalizing those policies.

The normalization had investors on edge all week -- and it's amplifying any corporate slip-ups. After Peloton Interactive cratered 24% yesterday, today it was Netflix that held the mantle for beaten-up tech stocks. The streaming giant tumbled 22% because its subscriber growth badly missed Wall Street's forecast. It didn't help that the company couldn't give a clear explanation as to why, as my colleague Eric Savitz explains.  

All told, the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 2.7% on the day, to finish the week down 7.6%. It's the fourth-consecutive week of declines for the Nasdaq, which is moving closer to bear-market territory with every passing trading day. The index is down 14.3% from its November highs; a bear market is generally defined as a 20% decline from peaks. The less tech-centric Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 4.6% on the week; it's down 6.9% from record highs. The broad-based S&P 500 is somewhere in between -- down 5.7% on the week and 8.3% from its Jan. 3 peak.

Somewhere along the way, investors may begin looking for bargains, especially in the world of technology. Andrew Bary has a few ideas on where to start. Read his story here. And then enjoy the weekend and a break from falling stocks. 

Watch our weekly TV show on Fox Business Saturdays at 10 a.m. or 11:30 a.m. ET; or Sundays at 10 a.m. or 11:30 a.m. ET. This week, what's next for stocks: interviews with David Giroux of T. Rowe Price and Liz Ann Sonders of Charles Schwab.

 

 


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