Tuesday, January 4, 2022

Stocks Turn Old School

 

By Alex Eule |  Tuesday, January 4

Growth Crunch, 2022 Edition. It's just a couple of days into a new year, but the market has already had two of the most 2021-type days possible. The year began with a broad-market surge, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average notching new records. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite outperformed.

A day later, however, we have the mirror image. As Treasury yields rose today, tech companies and other high-growth stocks sunk. The new year has done nothing to change the inverse relationship of yields and tech stocks -- largely because math is math. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 1.67%, and it's now up 17 basis points, or 0.17 percentage point, in the last two days. That's a huge move as far as interest rates go -- and not one that sits well with high-growth stocks. As yields rise, the value of future earnings are worth less. 

Internet names, cloud stocks, and stay-at-home plays were hit hard on the day, including Shopify (-10.4%), Qualtrics (-9.1%), Snowflake (-5.0%), and Peloton Interactive (-3.9%). The Nasdaq had its worst day since Dec. 16, falling 1.3%. 

“There is a total meltdown in growth tech,” Mizuho analyst Jordan Klein told my colleague Eric Savitz

Legacy tech names, on the other hand, which trade more on present earnings, did just fine. Xerox (+4.3%), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (+4.2%), HP Inc. (+3.1%), and IBM (+1.5%) were all in solidly positive territory on the day. 

Sure enough, the old-school Dow Jones Industrial Average, which still counts IBM as a member, rose 215 points, or 0.6%, to a new all-time high. In two days of 2022 trading, the Dow has already closed at two records. 

Energy was the best performing sector on the day, with the price of crude rising 1.2%, to just under $77 a barrel. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC, said it would continue to increase oil production, often a negative for prices, but the move suggested Omicron wouldn't have as big an effect on oil demand as previous waves of Covid. Energy stocks jumped 3.5% on the day.  

Barron's is now accepting nominations for the third annual Barron's 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance. The deadline for submissions is Jan. 15, 2022. Apply here.

 

 


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