Tuesday, November 29, 2022

China Dissent Drags Down Stocks

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Monday, November 28

Unrest. U.S. investors' attention was focused on the the other side of the Pacific today, after protests against China's zero-Covid policy intensified over the weekend.

It's a rare show of dissent in the authoritarian country. Commentators compared the upswell to the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989.

Here's Tanner Brown reporting for Barron's:

Masses of people gathered in dozens of Chinese cities on Saturday and Sunday, initially protesting China’s heavy-handed Covid-19 containment approach, but broadening into chants against the Communist Party and even leader Xi Jinping.

Most worrying for authorities, the protests ranged from hundreds of people marching and singing in China’s most economically and politically sensitive metropolises such as Shanghai and Beijing, to smaller cities all the way to the country’s remote west.

Meanwhile, China's confirmed Covid-19 cases sit at a record high. 

The combination of harsh lockdowns and disruptive protests raise investors' concerns on two fronts: over consumer demand and growth in the world's second-largest economy and over continued supply-chain issues for goods producers.

Apple, which makes the bulk of its devices in China, saw its stock drop 2.6% today. One analyst estimated that protests near a factory in Zhengzhou, China could shave 10% off of this quarter's planned iPhone production.

Less economic activity in China would mean less demand for energy. The price of a barrel of oil slid 1.3% today, to $77.24. That's only 1.5% above its lows of 2022, back in the first week of January. It has been quite a round-trip for the oil price, which peaked at nearly $124 in March.

The two major Chinese exchanges added to last week's losses. The Shanghai Composite slipped 0.7% today and the Hang Seng index lost 1.6%.

In the U.S., major indexes opened with slim losses, then declined through the session. The S&P 500 closed down 1.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 1.6%.

The week's main event will be the jobs report on Friday. Economists are forecasting growth of 200,000 jobs in November, a deceleration from October's 261,000-strong pace of hiring.

That wouldn't be all bad news for the market, if the implication is that the Federal Reserve can ease off its rate hike trajectory. But a larger decline in job growth could also backfire, by raising recession fears.

Over in the digital realm today, another cryptocurrency-related firm has gone under in the wake of FTX's collapse earlier this month. BlockFi, which once offered enticingly high yields on cryptocurrency deposits, filed for bankruptcy protection in its home state of New Jersey.

At its peak, BlockFi had more than $10 billion worth of crypto deposits. Barron's Joe Light has the full story here.

DJIA: -1.45% to 33,849.46
S&P 500: 
-1.54% to 3,963.94
Nasdaq: 
-1.58% to 11,049.50

The Hot Stock: Catalent +13.4%
The Biggest Loser: V.F. Corp 
-5.6%  

Best Sector: Consumer Staples -0.4%
Worst Sector: Real Estate 
-2.8%

A one-day chart of the major indexes.

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