The day was particularly bad for companies
engaged in e-commerce. Amazon.com’s less-than-stellar earnings
and guidance last month were "the canary in the coal mine"
for the industry, Barron's Teresa
Rivas wrote
today. Online retailers are facing a double-whammy of consumers
slowing their spending in an inflationary environment, plus the reopening of
bricks-and-mortar alternatives that all-but disappeared during the
pandemic.
The first-quarter reports from other
e-commerce companies including eBay, Etsy,
Shopify, and Wayfair have followed Amazon's
precedent.
Teresa summed it up:
A more guarded outlook is a common theme among
the companies, and one that investors are likely least happy to hear.
Expectations weren’t high going into the quarter, given the Amazon results and
overall concerns about consumer spending. E-commerce names in particular look
vulnerable as people stocked up on goods during the pandemic, and are now
shifting their inflation-reduced spending capacity to experiences like travel
and dining out. Moreover, shoppers are also returning to stores more
frequently.
For eBay and Etsy—which both reported
yesterday evening—revenue and earnings for the first few months of 2022 were
fine, meeting Wall Street's expectations. Their guidance was abysmal,
however, falling far short of the mark. Both companies are seeing deteriorating
trends in the current quarter.
"Since late February, when the war in
Ukraine began, we have seen lower e-commerce traffic, inflation in gas prices
and home energy costs and historically low consumer confidence, particularly in
the U.K. and Germany," eBay CEO Jamie Iannone said on
yesterday's earnings call. "As we look forward to the rest of 2022,
we find ourselves in the most dynamic macro environment I have seen since
returning to eBay as CEO. We expect more near-term headwinds to e-commerce
growth rates this year."
eBay stock dropped 12% today, to stretch its
2022 loss to almost 28%. Etsy tumbled 17%, while the broader S&P
500 consumer discretionary sector fell 5.6%.
This morning, results and guidance from Shopify
and Wayfair did nothing to relieve investors'
concerns about the e-commerce sector.
Amazon stock has lost 30% this year, Etsy is
down 58%, Shopify has dropped 70%, and Wayfair is off 64%.
Read Barron's coverage of each company's
latest earnings: Amazon,
eBay,
Etsy,
Shopify,
and Wayfair.
And find the rest of Teresa's report on the industry here.
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