Tuesday, January 3, 2023

U-Turn

 

By Nicholas Jasinski |  Thursday, May 5

About-Face. Stocks gave back yesterday's gains in short order. The post-Federal Reserve meeting relief rally didn't last a day.

Stocks had soared Wednesday afternoon after the Fed's policy-setting committee announced a half-point interest rate increase and a timeline for shrinking its balance sheet. That rally was confusing at the time, and not everyone was surprised it didn't keep.

"We shouldn’t have gone up 2% yesterday on the news,” said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research.

Today's losses more than wiped that away. The Nasdaq Composite dropped a full 5%, to its lowest closing value since late November 2020. E-commerce companies and other tech shares had a particularly bad day (more on that below).

The S&P 500 lost 3.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 3.1%. Only 19 S&P 500 stocks finished the day in the green. That's after gains of at least 2.8% for all three indexes yesterday.

Volatility has taken the wheel, and investors need to buckle up for more bumps ahead. For all the action, though, the S&P 500 is now about flat over the past five trading days.

Rising bond yields were in focus today, explaining the heavier losses for the Nasdaq and its more growth-oriented stocks. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose 0.15 percentage point today, to just under 3.1%. That's its highest yield since November 2018 and is up 1.44 percentage points since the start of the year.

Barron's Alexandra Scaggs has more on the latest moves in bond markets.

Next up tomorrow morning will be the April jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists surveyed by FactSet are expecting to see a gain of 400,000 nonfarm payrolls last month. That would be down from the 431,000 jobs added in March.

The unemployment rate is forecast to remain at an ultra-low 3.6%. Job openings have lately outnumbered job seekers by roughly double, and the tightness of the labor market has resulted in rising wages in numerous industries and sectors. And that has been a big contributor to inflation.

 

 


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